Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.017823 0.022491 0.028706 0.037886 0.051666 0.072645 0.109476
2025-01-05 0.011990 0.016580 0.023600 0.035961 0.059389 0.108221 0.245359
2025-01-12 0.009373 0.013687 0.020879 0.035116 0.067172 0.154516 0.564185
2025-01-19 0.008169 0.012507 0.020313 0.037575 0.083972 0.257745 2.165343
2025-01-26 0.007477 0.011949 0.020591 0.041903 0.111230 0.502156 38.079440
2025-02-02 0.006926 0.011483 0.020856 0.046422 0.147390 1.106210 NaN
2025-02-09 0.006210 0.010535 0.019793 0.046799 0.169490 2.051800 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005642 0.009766 0.018914 0.047292 0.195265 4.374355 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005150 0.009065 0.018011 0.047280 0.220525 10.800545 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004619 0.008201 0.016511 0.044473 0.222021 19.564080 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004231 0.007590 0.015533 0.043204 0.235579 60.579984 NaN
2025-03-16 0.003992 0.007271 0.015240 0.044496 0.279437 8945.215319 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003696 0.006830 0.014658 0.044942 0.329086 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003345 0.006227 0.013521 0.042508 0.338259 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003082 0.005791 0.012764 0.041444 0.369254 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002957 0.005656 0.012843 0.044544 0.510210 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002887 0.005641 0.013280 0.050046 0.826751 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002815 0.005609 0.013658 0.055850 1.421039 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002662 0.005353 0.013243 0.056336 1.828865 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002527 0.005126 0.012878 0.056974 2.423728 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002397 0.004896 0.012458 0.056958 3.123804 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002235 0.004568 0.011635 0.053339 2.990039 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002111 0.004330 0.011097 0.051711 3.329085 NaN NaN